Just seen Ruth Kelly is standing down as an MP as well at the next election:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/7649662.stm

Well without the incumbancy factor and a majority under 2,100, that's going to be a seat lost that'll be a win for the Tories I suspect.  There was a strong swing from Labour to the Tories in 2005 of 4.2%. Gordon Brown won't be thanking her!